Champions League: matchday 2 predictions
13–14 October · 18 matches · season 2026/27 · under way
Champions League matchday 2: 18 matches, 13–14 October. The model expects 2.9 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 12 matches, an away win in 6. The round is under way: 9 of 18 played, the most likely outcome came true in 5.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Most goals expectedArsenal — LilleArsenal 80% to win; most likely score 3:0; 3.4 goals on average; over 2.5: 67%; final score 3:0
- Closest matchFeyenoord — Como37% v 37%, draw 27%
- Possible upsetAtlético Madrid — Manchester UnitedManchester United 24% to win: the best underdog chance of the round; final score 2:0
The matches
Tuesday, 13 October
- 4226321The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 3627372The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:2.2.8
- 6222171The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 3:1.3.0
- 801471The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 3:0, exactly right.3.4
- 5125241The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 3927351The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 4027341The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 2425512The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 1219692The most likely outcome did not happen: 23:3Final score 3:3. Model's score: 0:3.3.1
Wednesday, 14 October
- 3727372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 2726472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 1320672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.1
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
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