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Paraguayan Primera Division · Tuesday, 3 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio Monumental Río Parapití

2 de Mayo — Sportivo Trinidense

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Model prediction and result

0:0Missed
2 de Mayo31%
Draw31%
Sportivo Trinidense38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Sportivo Trinidense to win (38%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 38% fails in about 62 matches out of 100 on average.

Sportivo Trinidense are slightly stronger: 38% against 31%, draw 31%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Sportivo Trinidense are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: 2 de Mayo 3 wins, Sportivo Trinidense 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: 2 de Mayo — Sportivo Trinidense What is xG?1.1–1.3
2 de Mayo not to lose62%
Sportivo Trinidense not to lose69%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.543%
Total under 2.557%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap 2 de Mayo
  • 2 de Mayo goals
  • Sportivo Trinidense goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Match statistics

2 de MayoSportivo Trinidense
  • 56Possession, %44
  • 14Shots12
  • 2On target2
  • 0Big chances0
  • 5Corners7
  • 8Fouls10
  • 2Offsides3
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

2 de Mayo

  1. GKNicolás Rossi7.6
  2. DFCésar Ramírez7.3
  3. DFCamilo Saiz (C)7.2
  4. DFCésar Castro75′7.8
  5. DFAlexis Villalva7.4
  6. MFMarcos Gómez6.9
  7. MFÓscar Romero7.1
  8. MFHenry Riquelme60′6.9
  9. FWMatías Moya60′6.3
  10. FWAlan Gómez67′7.4
  11. FWMatías Cáceres45′6.0
Came on (5)
  1. FWTobías Cervera45′6.8
  2. DFUlises Coronel15′6.6
  3. FWPedro Delvalle30′6.5
  4. FWTobías Portillo30′6.5
  5. MFÁngel Aguilera23′6.3

Sportivo Trinidense

  1. GKMatías Dufour7.1
  2. DFTobías Morinigo6.5
  3. DFAxel Cañete7.4
  4. DFAgustín Da Silveira7.1
  5. DFCésar Benítez6.9
  6. MFLuis Abreu75′6.5
  7. MFGustavo Viera (C)6.8
  8. MFAriel Gauto75′7.6
  9. FWClementino González67′6.2
  10. FWNicolás Maná58′6.3
  11. FWJunior Gamarra45′6.2
Came on (5)
  1. DFLuis De la Cruz45′7.3
  2. FWNéstor Camacho23′5.9
  3. MFAlan Cano15′6.0
  4. MFRonald Cornet15′6.4
  5. FWFaustino Barone32′6.0

Form

2 de Mayo

  • 31.10away · Guaraní0:1
  • 25.10Recoleta1:1
  • 18.10away · Olimpia0:3
  • 12.10Sportivo Ameliano1:0
  • 06.10away · Cerro Porteño2:0

Sportivo Trinidense

  • 31.10Rubio Ñú2:4
  • 24.10away · Nacional (PAR)1:0
  • 19.10Libertad1:0
  • 10.10away · Sportivo San Lorenzo1:1
  • 05.10Luqueño3:2

Head to head

  • 29.08.2026Sportivo Trinidense — 2 de Mayo0:1
  • 01.05.2026Sportivo Trinidense — 2 de Mayo1:2
  • 01.03.20262 de Mayo — Sportivo Trinidense1:0
  • 26.10.2025Sportivo Trinidense — 2 de Mayo2:1
  • 08.08.20252 de Mayo — Sportivo Trinidense0:2

Full record: 12 meetings →

Next matches

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →