Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 12 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
ADO Den Haag — Sparta Rotterdam
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In short
ADO Den Haag are slightly stronger: 42% against 30%, draw 28%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- ADO Den Haag are 58 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: ADO Den Haag — No. 17, 6 pts; Sparta Rotterdam — No. 11, 12 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ADO Den Haag — Sparta Rotterdam What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| ADO Den Haag not to lose | 70% | |
| Sparta Rotterdam not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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- Handicap ADO Den Haag
- ADO Den Haag goals
- Sparta Rotterdam goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | ADO Den Haag | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| xG per match | 1.14 | 2.01 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.85 | 1.69 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 14.1 |
| On target | 4.1 | 5.5 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 5.8 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 45 |
Form
- 01.11away · PEC Zwolle0:1
- 24.10SC Heerenveen2:3
- 17.10PSV Eindhoven2:1
- 11.10away · Telstar2:2
- 19.09Cambuur1:1
- 01.11away · FC Groningen3:2
- 25.10Ajax1:2
- 17.10Willem II3:2
- 10.10away · Go Ahead Eagles3:3
- 19.09SC Heerenveen0:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Utrecht | 11 | 3 | -12 | 12 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Telstar | 11 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 17, Relegation | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1 | -11 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Willem II | 11 | 0 | -29 | 2 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- 4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 2627472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →