Ghana Premier League, round 11 · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Aduana Stars — Bechem United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Aduana Stars are clear favourites: 59% against 17% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 34%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Aduana Stars are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Aduana Stars are 115 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Aduana Stars — No. 4, 16 pts; Bechem United — No. 8, 13 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Aduana Stars 2 wins, Bechem United 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Aduana Stars — Bechem United What is xG? | 1.4–0.6 | |
| Aduana Stars not to lose | 83% | |
| Bechem United not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 34% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 66% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Aduana Stars
- Aduana Stars goals
- Bechem United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11Berekum Chelsea2:0
- 25.10away · Medeama SC0:1
- 18.10Ashanti Gold1:0
- 11.10away · Young Apostles0:1
- 04.10All Blacks2:1
- 01.11away · Heart of Lions1:2
- 25.10Debibi3:0
- 18.10away · Holy Stars0:1
- 11.10Vision FC4:2
- 04.10away · Port City1:3
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Bechem United — Aduana Stars2:1
- 12.10.2025Aduana Stars — Bechem United2:1
- 02.02.2025Aduana Stars — Bechem United1:0
- 15.09.2024Bechem United — Aduana Stars0:0
- 01.06.2024Bechem United — Aduana Stars1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 9 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Aduana Stars | 9 | 5 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Port City | 9 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 | All Blacks | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 | Bechem United | 9 | 4 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | Asante Kotoko SC | 9 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- Asante Kotoko SCBibiani Gold Starspreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Ashanti GoldKarela Unitedpreliminary5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- DebibiPort Citypreliminary353134XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.9
- Heart of LionsDreams FCpreliminary4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Holy StarsVision FCpreliminary4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- SamartexHearts of Oakpreliminary4534211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.3
- All BlacksBerekum Chelseapreliminary5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Young ApostlesMedeama SCpreliminary3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →