Ghana Premier League, round 11 · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Samartex — Hearts of Oak
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Samartex are clear favourites: 45% against 21% for the opponent, draw 34%.
The model expects few goals: 1.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 19%, both teams to score — 21%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Samartex are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Samartex are 53 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Samartex — No. 2, 18 pts; Hearts of Oak — No. 3, 17 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Samartex 2 wins, Hearts of Oak 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Samartex — Hearts of Oak What is xG? | 0.8–0.5 | |
| Samartex not to lose | 79% | |
| Hearts of Oak not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 21% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 79% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 19% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 81% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Samartex
- Samartex goals
- Hearts of Oak goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11Bibiani Gold Stars1:0
- 25.10away · Berekum Chelsea0:0
- 18.10Medeama SC2:1
- 11.10away · Ashanti Gold0:1
- 04.10Young Apostles1:0
- 01.11away · Debibi0:1
- 23.10Holy Stars1:0
- 17.10away · Vision FC1:0
- 11.10Port City1:0
- 03.10away · Dreams FC0:0
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Samartex — Hearts of Oak1:0
- 26.12.2025Hearts of Oak — Samartex1:0
- 08.06.2025Hearts of Oak — Samartex1:0
- 19.01.2025Samartex — Hearts of Oak0:0
- 23.03.2024Samartex — Hearts of Oak2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama SC | 9 | 5 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 | Samartex | 9 | 5 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 9 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Aduana Stars | 9 | 5 | +4 | 16 |
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- Aduana StarsBechem Unitedpreliminary5925171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- Asante Kotoko SCBibiani Gold Starspreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Ashanti GoldKarela Unitedpreliminary5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- DebibiPort Citypreliminary353134XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.9
- Heart of LionsDreams FCpreliminary4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Holy StarsVision FCpreliminary4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- All BlacksBerekum Chelseapreliminary5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Young ApostlesMedeama SCpreliminary3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →