Ghana Premier League, round 11 · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Ashanti Gold — Karela United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ashanti Gold are clear favourites: 58% against 18% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ashanti Gold are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Ashanti Gold are 121 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Ashanti Gold — No. 6, 14 pts; Karela United — No. 15, 10 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ashanti Gold — Karela United What is xG? | 1.6–0.7 | |
| Ashanti Gold not to lose | 82% | |
| Karela United not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ashanti Gold
- Ashanti Gold goals
- Karela United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 01.11away · All Blacks2:1
- 25.10Asante Kotoko SC1:1
- 18.10away · Aduana Stars0:1
- 11.10Samartex1:0
- 04.10away · Heart of Lions2:3
- 01.11away · Young Apostles0:0
- 25.10Port City1:2
- 18.10away · All Blacks0:2
- 11.10Dreams FC1:0
- 01.10away · Asante Kotoko SC0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Port City | 9 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 | Ashanti Gold | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | All Blacks | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 14 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 9 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Karela United | 9 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Debibi | 9 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- Aduana StarsBechem Unitedpreliminary5925171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- Asante Kotoko SCBibiani Gold Starspreliminary5425211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- DebibiPort Citypreliminary353134XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.9
- Heart of LionsDreams FCpreliminary4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Holy StarsVision FCpreliminary4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- SamartexHearts of Oakpreliminary4534211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.3
- All BlacksBerekum Chelseapreliminary5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Young ApostlesMedeama SCpreliminary3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →