Danish Superliga, round 14 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
AGF — AC Horsens
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
AGF are clear favourites: 63% against 15% for the opponent, draw 22%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AGF are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
- AGF are 211 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: AGF — No. 8, 12 pts; AC Horsens — No. 7, 16 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 3 meetings: AGF 1 win, AC Horsens 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AGF — AC Horsens What is xG? | 2.2–1.1 | |
| AGF not to lose | 85% | |
| AC Horsens not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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- Handicap AGF
- AGF goals
- AC Horsens goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | AGF | AC Horsens |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 1.17 | 1.57 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.68 | 1.74 |
| Shots | 12.5 | 13.6 |
| On target | 2.9 | 5.5 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 2.9 |
| Cards | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 50 |
Form
- 01.11away · Brøndby IF0:2
- 25.10Viborg2:1
- 22.10Egnatia1:1
- 18.10away · FC København1:1
- 15.10away · Gent0:1
- 01.11away · Viborg0:1
- 25.10Sønderjyske5:1
- 16.10Randers FC0:0
- 11.10away · Silkeborg3:3
- 20.09AGF2:2
Head to head
- 20.09.2026AC Horsens — AGF2:2
- 03.03.2023AGF — AC Horsens2:0
- 26.08.2022AC Horsens — AGF2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Championship round | OB | 13 | 4 | -2 | 17 |
| 7, Relegation round | AC Horsens | 13 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 8, Relegation round | AGF | 13 | 2 | -4 | 12 |
| 9, Relegation round | Silkeborg | 13 | 2 | -7 | 12 |
Danish Superliga on the same day
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 2728462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- 6821111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →