Danish Superliga, round 14 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
FC København — Brøndby IF
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In short
FC København are clear favourites: 55% against 19% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC København are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- FC København are 185 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: FC København — No. 2, 29 pts; Brøndby IF — No. 4, 22 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- FC København: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: FC København 4 wins, Brøndby IF 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC København — Brøndby IF What is xG? | 1.9–1.1 | |
| FC København not to lose | 81% | |
| Brøndby IF not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap FC København
- FC København goals
- Brøndby IF goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FC København | Brøndby IF |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.71 | 1.90 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.86 | 1.33 |
| Shots | 15.1 | 14.9 |
| On target | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 6.7 |
| Cards | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 55 |
Form
- 02.11away · Sønderjyske2:0
- 26.10OB1:1
- 22.10away · FK Crvena Zvezda2:2
- 18.10AGF1:1
- 15.10Braga3:0
Head to head
- 20.09.2026Brøndby IF — FC København0:1
- 21.05.2026Brøndby IF — FC København1:3
- 23.11.2025FC København — Brøndby IF1:0
- 13.09.2025Brøndby IF — FC København2:1
- 04.05.2025Brøndby IF — FC København0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9 | +12 | 31 |
| 2, Championship round | FC København | 13 | 9 | +16 | 29 |
| 3, Championship round | Viborg | 13 | 7 | +8 | 23 |
| 4, Championship round | Brøndby IF | 13 | 7 | +3 | 22 |
| 5, Championship round | Nordsjælland | 13 | 5 | +3 | 20 |
Danish Superliga on the same day
- 6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
- 2728462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- 6821111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →