Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Al Ahli — Al-Taawoun
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Al Ahli are clear favourites: 75% against 9% for the opponent, draw 16%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Ahli are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.
- Al Ahli are 329 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Al Ahli — No. 6, 21 pts; Al-Taawoun — No. 17, 5 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Al-Taawoun: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Al Ahli 5 wins, Al-Taawoun 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Ahli — Al-Taawoun What is xG? | 2.4–0.8 | |
| Al Ahli not to lose | 91% | |
| Al-Taawoun not to lose | 25% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Ahli
- Al Ahli goals
- Al-Taawoun goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 30.10away · Al Shabab1:6
- 23.10Al Khaleej4:1
- 19.10away · Al-Fayha3:2
- 09.10away · Al Fateh FC4:0
- 11.09Al Hazem3:1
- 31.10Al-Ettifaq1:1
- 24.10away · Al Riyadh1:2
- 20.10Al Qadsiah0:1
- 17.10away · Al Diriyah1:1
- 11.10away · Al Shabab0:3
Head to head
- 11.05.2026Al-Taawoun — Al Ahli1:2
- 14.01.2026Al Ahli — Al-Taawoun2:1
- 07.05.2025Al Ahli — Al-Taawoun2:0
- 07.12.2024Al-Taawoun — Al Ahli2:4
- 09.03.2024Al-Taawoun — Al Ahli0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Neom SC | 12 | 7 | +8 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Ahli | 11 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 5 | +1 | 19 |
| 16, Relegation | Al Fateh FC | 12 | 1 | -15 | 6 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 12 | 0 | -14 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Abha | 11 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 616782The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.6
- 3131392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →