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Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Al-Faisaly — Al Diriyah

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Model prediction for 7 November

Al-Faisaly31%
Draw31%
Al Diriyah39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Al Diriyah are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 31%.

The model expects few goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Al-Faisaly — No. 15, 10 pts; Al Diriyah — No. 8, 15 pts. A gap of 5 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al-Faisaly — Al Diriyah What is xG?1.2–1.4
Al-Faisaly not to lose61%
Al Diriyah not to lose69%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes58%
Both teams to score: no42%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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  • Handicap Al-Faisaly
  • Al-Faisaly goals
  • Al Diriyah goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Al-Faisaly

  • 31.10away · Al-Fayha1:4
  • 27.10away · Abha1:0
  • 23.10Al Nassr FC1:3
  • 19.10away · Al Shabab2:2
  • 15.10Al Kholood3:2

Al Diriyah

  • 30.10Neom SC1:2
  • 23.10away · Al Ittihad0:2
  • 20.10Al Riyadh1:0
  • 17.10Al-Taawoun1:1
  • 09.10away · Al Nassr FC0:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Al-Ettifaq1254318–17+119
8Al Diriyah1243510–13-315
9Al Khaleej1236314–19-515
14Al Hazem1224614–20-610
15Al-Faisaly1224613–24-1110
16, RelegationAl Fateh FC1213810–25-156

Season 2026/27

Full table

Saudi Pro League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →