Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Al-Ettifaq — Al Hilal
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In short
Al Hilal are clear favourites: 78% against 6% for the opponent, draw 16%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Hilal are about 2.1 goals per match stronger.
- Al Hilal are 197 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Al-Ettifaq — No. 7, 19 pts; Al Hilal — No. 1, 30 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Al Hilal: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Al-Ettifaq 0 wins, Al Hilal 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al-Ettifaq — Al Hilal What is xG? | 0.8–2.7 | |
| Al-Ettifaq not to lose | 22% | |
| Al Hilal not to lose | 94% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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Form
- 31.10away · Al-Taawoun1:1
- 24.10away · Al Kholood3:0
- 20.10Al Ittihad1:4
- 17.10away · Neom SC1:0
- 10.10Al Khaleej1:1
- 31.10Al Fateh FC2:0
- 23.10away · Al Qadsiah3:2
- 19.10Al Hazem1:0
- 10.10Al Ittihad3:2
- 12.09away · Al-Taawoun6:0
Head to head
- 13.02.2026Al Hilal — Al-Ettifaq2:0
- 18.10.2025Al-Ettifaq — Al Hilal0:5
- 11.04.2025Al-Ettifaq — Al Hilal1:1
- 08.11.2024Al Hilal — Al-Ettifaq3:1
- 26.02.2024Al-Ettifaq — Al Hilal0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 11 | 10 | +23 | 30 |
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 12 | 9 | +20 | 28 |
| 6 | Al Ahli | 11 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 5 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 751691The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 3131392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →