Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Al Fateh FC — Al Riyadh
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In short
Al Fateh FC are clear favourites: 48% against 25% for the opponent, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Fateh FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Al Fateh FC — No. 16, 6 pts; Al Riyadh — No. 12, 12 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Al Fateh FC: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Al Fateh FC 1 win, Al Riyadh 2, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Al Fateh FC 6, Al Riyadh 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Fateh FC — Al Riyadh What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| Al Fateh FC not to lose | 75% | |
| Al Riyadh not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Fateh FC
- Al Fateh FC goals
- Al Riyadh goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10away · Al Hilal0:2
- 22.10Al Shabab1:3
- 18.10Al Khaleej2:3
- 15.10away · Al Hazem3:2
- 09.10Al Ahli0:4
- 29.10Al Qadsiah0:6
- 24.10Al-Taawoun2:1
- 20.10away · Al Diriyah0:1
- 11.10away · Al-Fayha1:1
- 13.09Al Kholood2:0
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Al Riyadh — Al Fateh FC1:0
- 13.01.2026Al Fateh FC — Al Riyadh3:1
- 23.04.2025Al Riyadh — Al Fateh FC2:2
- 28.11.2024Al Fateh FC — Al Riyadh1:2
- 02.05.2024Al Fateh FC — Al Riyadh2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | -14 | 12 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly | 12 | 2 | -11 | 10 |
| 16, Relegation | Al Fateh FC | 12 | 1 | -15 | 6 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 12 | 0 | -14 | 5 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 817762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.4
- 5028221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →