Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Al Hazem — Al Nassr FC
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In short
Al Nassr FC are clear favourites: 76% against 8% for the opponent, draw 17%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Nassr FC are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.
- Al Nassr FC are 273 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Al Hazem — No. 14, 10 pts; Al Nassr FC — No. 3, 28 pts. A gap of 18 pts.
- Al Hazem: winless in 5; Al Nassr FC: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Al Hazem 0 wins, Al Nassr FC 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Hazem — Al Nassr FC What is xG? | 0.9–2.5 | |
| Al Hazem not to lose | 24% | |
| Al Nassr FC not to lose | 92% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Hazem
- Al Hazem goals
- Al Nassr FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 29.10away · Al Khaleej2:4
- 22.10Al-Fayha2:2
- 19.10away · Al Hilal0:1
- 15.10Al Fateh FC2:3
- 10.10Neom SC1:1
- 29.10Al Kholood5:3
- 23.10away · Al-Faisaly3:1
- 20.10Neom SC1:0
- 09.10Al Diriyah3:0
- 12.09away · Al Khaleej1:1
Head to head
- 21.02.2026Al Nassr FC — Al Hazem4:0
- 25.10.2025Al Hazem — Al Nassr FC0:2
- 29.02.2024Al Nassr FC — Al Hazem4:4
- 02.09.2023Al Hazem — Al Nassr FC1:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 12 | 9 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 11 | 9 | +17 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 11 | 7 | +10 | 24 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Al Hazem | 12 | 2 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly | 12 | 2 | -11 | 10 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 5028221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →