Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Al Ittihad — Neom SC
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In short
Al Ittihad are clear favourites: 50% against 22% for the opponent, draw 28%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Ittihad are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Al Ittihad are 171 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Al Ittihad — No. 4, 24 pts; Neom SC — No. 5, 22 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Al Ittihad 1 win, Neom SC 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Ittihad — Neom SC What is xG? | 1.8–1.2 | |
| Al Ittihad not to lose | 78% | |
| Neom SC not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Ittihad
- Al Ittihad goals
- Neom SC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 30.10away · Abha1:1
- 23.10Al Diriyah2:0
- 20.10away · Al-Ettifaq4:1
- 10.10away · Al Hilal2:3
- 11.09away · Al-Faisaly3:1
- 30.10away · Al Diriyah2:1
- 24.10Abha2:0
- 20.10away · Al Nassr FC0:1
- 17.10Al-Ettifaq0:1
- 10.10away · Al Hazem1:1
Head to head
- 08.04.2026Al Ittihad — Neom SC3:4
- 31.12.2025Neom SC — Al Ittihad1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 11 | 9 | +17 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 11 | 7 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 12 | 7 | +8 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Ahli | 11 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 817762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →