Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
Alianza FC — Llaneros FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 9 November
In short
Alianza FC are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Alianza FC are 63 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Alianza FC — No. 14, 18 pts; Llaneros FC — No. 13, 20 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 3 meetings: Alianza FC 2 wins, Llaneros FC 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Alianza FC — Llaneros FC What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Alianza FC not to lose | 71% | |
| Llaneros FC not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Alianza FC
- Alianza FC goals
- Llaneros FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Alianza FC | Llaneros FC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 0.90 | 1.17 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.12 | 1.27 |
| Shots | 11.6 | 12.6 |
| On target | 3.8 | 5.1 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| Cards | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| Possession, % | 43 | 47 |
Form
- 02.11away · Independiente Medellín1:2
- 29.10away · Once Caldas0:1
- 26.10Internacional de Bogotá1:0
- 20.10away · Deportivo Pasto1:0
- 10.10Águilas Doradas2:2
- 01.11Junior3:2
- 27.10away · CD Jaguares0:1
- 22.10Deportivo Cali0:3
- 19.10Santa Fe1:0
- 10.10away · Once Caldas0:1
Head to head
- 27.04.2026Llaneros FC — Alianza FC0:0
- 28.09.2025Alianza FC — Llaneros FC3:1
- 12.04.2025Llaneros FC — Alianza FC0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Internacional de Bogotá | 17 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros FC | 17 | 6 | -4 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza FC | 17 | 5 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | -9 | 17 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 2528482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
- 4529251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →