Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)
CD Jaguares — Bucaramanga
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In short
Bucaramanga are clear favourites: 48% against 25% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bucaramanga are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Bucaramanga are 145 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: CD Jaguares — No. 19, 13 pts; Bucaramanga — No. 4, 29 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: CD Jaguares 0 wins, Bucaramanga 2, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CD Jaguares — Bucaramanga What is xG? | 1.1–1.5 | |
| CD Jaguares not to lose | 52% | |
| Bucaramanga not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CD Jaguares
- CD Jaguares goals
- Bucaramanga goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | CD Jaguares | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| xG per match | 0.79 | 1.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.60 | 1.61 |
| Shots | 11.0 | 11.7 |
| On target | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 2.6 |
| Cards | 3.0 | 3.1 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 43 |
Form
- 04.11away · Deportivo Pasto0:2
- 31.10away · Deportivo Pereira0:1
- 27.10Llaneros FC1:0
- 22.10away · Santa Fe1:2
- 18.10away · Millonarios1:4
- 03.11Atlético Nacional1:1
- 31.10Deportivo Pasto2:1
- 27.10away · Santa Fe1:2
- 24.10away · Chicó FC0:1
- 19.10América de Cali1:1
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Bucaramanga — CD Jaguares2:2
- 28.07.2024Bucaramanga — CD Jaguares0:0
- 03.02.2024CD Jaguares — Bucaramanga0:1
- 08.08.2023Bucaramanga — CD Jaguares3:0
- 11.02.2023CD Jaguares — Bucaramanga1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | +16 | 33 |
| 4, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | +9 | 29 |
| 5, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | +6 | 28 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 17 | 4 | -11 | 15 |
| 19 | CD Jaguares | 17 | 3 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 1 | -8 | 12 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 4529251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →