2. Bundesliga, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Bochum — Karlsruher SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Bochum are clear favourites: 53% against 21% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bochum are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Bochum are 113 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Bochum — No. 11, 11 pts; Karlsruher SC — No. 13, 11 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Bochum 1 win, Karlsruher SC 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bochum — Karlsruher SC What is xG? | 1.9–1.2 | |
| Bochum not to lose | 79% | |
| Karlsruher SC not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bochum
- Bochum goals
- Karlsruher SC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Bochum | Karlsruher SC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| xG per match | 1.20 | 1.26 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.37 | 1.44 |
| Shots | 14.1 | 14.9 |
| On target | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.8 |
| Cards | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 49 |
Form
- 30.10away · Energie Cottbus2:1
- 27.10Mainz 052:0
- 23.10Wolfsburg1:1
- 17.10away · Kaiserslautern0:2
- 11.10Arminia Bielefeld0:1
- 31.10FC Heidenheim2:1
- 27.10away · Borussia Mönchengladbach0:2
- 24.10away · Magdeburg1:6
- 18.10Darmstadt4:0
- 11.10away · St. Pauli0:2
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Karlsruher SC — Bochum1:2
- 20.12.2025Bochum — Karlsruher SC2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Bochum | 10 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Hannover 96 | 10 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3 | -8 | 11 |
| 14 | Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →