2. Bundesliga, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Magdeburg — St. Pauli
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Evenly matched: Magdeburg 38%, St. Pauli 33%, draw 29%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings St. Pauli are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Magdeburg — No. 5, 17 pts; St. Pauli — No. 8, 12 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Magdeburg 1 win, St. Pauli 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Magdeburg — St. Pauli What is xG? | 1.5–1.4 | |
| Magdeburg not to lose | 67% | |
| St. Pauli not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Magdeburg
- Magdeburg goals
- St. Pauli goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Magdeburg | St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 1.41 | 1.60 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.54 | 1.17 |
| Shots | 15.1 | 14.2 |
| On target | 5.8 | 4.7 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.7 |
| Cards | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| Possession, % | 54 | 50 |
Form
- 31.10away · Darmstadt1:1
- 28.10away · Bayern München1:6
- 24.10Karlsruher SC6:1
- 18.10away · Dynamo Dresden0:2
- 10.10Hannover 963:0
- 01.111. FC Nürnberg1:3
- 23.10away · Darmstadt0:0
- 17.10away · Hannover 961:1
- 11.10Karlsruher SC2:0
- 20.09away · Energie Cottbus1:1
Head to head
- 10.02.2024Magdeburg — St. Pauli1:0
- 27.08.2023St. Pauli — Magdeburg0:0
- 18.02.2023Magdeburg — St. Pauli1:2
- 14.08.2022St. Pauli — Magdeburg3:0
- 07.08.2021Magdeburg — St. Pauli2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 5 | Magdeburg | 10 | 5 | +8 | 17 |
| 6 | FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | St. Pauli | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →