2. Bundesliga, round 11 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
FC Heidenheim — Hannover 96
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
FC Heidenheim are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Heidenheim are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- FC Heidenheim are 134 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: FC Heidenheim — No. 6, 15 pts; Hannover 96 — No. 12, 11 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- FC Heidenheim: winless in 5.
- Last 4 meetings: FC Heidenheim 3 wins, Hannover 96 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Heidenheim — Hannover 96 What is xG? | 1.9–1.5 | |
| FC Heidenheim not to lose | 72% | |
| Hannover 96 not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Heidenheim
- FC Heidenheim goals
- Hannover 96 goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FC Heidenheim | Hannover 96 |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 2.28 | 2.29 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.23 | 1.33 |
| Shots | 19.2 | 19.3 |
| On target | 6.4 | 7.5 |
| Corners | 7.0 | 6.5 |
| Cards | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 53 |
Form
- 31.10away · Karlsruher SC1:2
- 24.10Energie Cottbus1:1
- 17.10away · Wolfsburg1:3
- 09.10Kaiserslautern0:0
- 20.09away · Arminia Bielefeld2:2
- 01.11Dynamo Dresden2:1
- 28.10Kaiserslautern0:2
- 25.10away · Eintracht Braunschweig0:2
- 17.10St. Pauli1:1
- 10.10away · Magdeburg0:3
Head to head
- 14.04.2023Hannover 96 — FC Heidenheim0:3
- 09.10.2022FC Heidenheim — Hannover 962:1
- 04.02.2022FC Heidenheim — Hannover 963:1
- 20.08.2021Hannover 96 — FC Heidenheim1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magdeburg | 10 | 5 | +8 | 17 |
| 6 | FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Bochum | 10 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Hannover 96 | 10 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3 | -8 | 11 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →