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Liga de Expansion MX, playoff · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo

Cancún FC — Piratas

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Model prediction for 6 November

Cancún FC48%
Draw29%
Piratas23%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Cancún FC are clear favourites: 48% against 23% for the opponent, draw 29%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Cancún FC are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • Cancún FC are 110 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Cancún FC — No. 5, 25 pts; Piratas — No. 4, 25 pts.
  • Cancún FC: unbeaten in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Cancún FC — Piratas What is xG?1.6–1.1
Cancún FC not to lose77%
Piratas not to lose52%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.549%
Total under 2.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Cancún FC
  • Cancún FC goals
  • Piratas goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatCancún FCPiratas
Goals scored per match1.81.2
Goals conceded per match1.20.8
xG per match0.170.11
Opponents’ xG0.040.08
Shots11.913.0
On target5.35.2
Corners3.66.0
Cards2.32.7
Possession, %4156

Averages per match: Cancún FC — the last 9, Piratas — the last 9 matches in all competitions.

Last starting lineups

How the teams started their last match; the official lineups come about an hour before kick-off.

Cancún FC

  1. GKEdson Arce
  2. DFAlek Álvarez
  3. DFRodrigo Reyes
  4. DFJonathan Hernández
  5. DFLuis Bustillos
  6. MFChristo Vela
  7. MFKarel Campos
  8. MFArmando Chávez
  9. FWThiago Gigena
  10. FWGipson Preciado
  11. FWJosé Rodríguez (C)
Bench (10)
  1. FWAleksandr Lomakin
  2. DFDaniel Guillén
  3. MFAarón Arredondo
  4. MFLeonel López
  5. DFJair Cortés
  6. FWChristopher Trejo
  7. MFCesar Salaya
  8. GKErick Montiel
  9. MFDamián Lomelí
  10. FWGael Hernandez

Piratas

  1. GKHumberto Hernández (C)
  2. DFKenneth Jaime
  3. DFÁngel López
  4. DFRamon Palomares
  5. DFDiego Cruz
  6. MFJesús Venegas
  7. MFOmar Soto
  8. MFBrian Figueroa
  9. FWJuan Gamboa
  10. FWDaniel Lajud
  11. FWJosé Clemente
Bench (10)
  1. DFUziel García
  2. MFGabriel López
  3. FWDiego Sánchez
  4. FWFrancisco García
  5. DFRolando González
  6. MFChristian Fernandez
  7. MFEdwin Vargas
  8. DFEduardo Ochoa
  9. FWIbe Doumbouya
  10. GKJuan Gómez

Form

Cancún FC

  • 01.11Jaiba Brava del Tampico-Madero2:0
  • 24.10away · Tepatitlán FC4:0
  • 18.10Venados FC1:1
  • 11.10away · Mineros de Zacatecas2:2
  • 04.10Tapatío1:0

Piratas

  • 01.11Tapatío1:1
  • 25.10away · Dorados5:0
  • 18.10Tepatitlán FC3:0
  • 11.10away · Tlaxcala FC2:4
  • 04.10Alebrijes Oaxaca4:0

Head to head

  • 23.08.2026Piratas — Cancún FC0:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3Atlético Morelia1582526–19+726
4Piratas1574427–15+1225
5Cancún FC1574428–18+1025
6Venados FC1574431–25+625

Season 2026/27

Full table

Liga de Expansion MX on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →