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Liga de Expansion MX
Mexico · season 2026/27 · 16 teams · 120 matches played
Matchday 15 predictions →Power rankings →
Liga de Expansion MX predictions
Thursday, 5 November
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 4228301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
Friday, 6 November
- 4829231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
Sunday, 8 November
- 5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 4929221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
Monday, 9 November
- 4829241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
Wednesday, 11 Novemberpreliminary estimates
- 4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Saturday, 14 Novemberpreliminary estimates
- 4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 4629251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
Results · last 30 days; the model's pick came true in 11 of 24, it expected 53%
Sunday, 1 November
- 4628271The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 6321151The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:1.3.2
- 6025151The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.5
- 4631231The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 741791The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:0.3.2
Saturday, 31 October
- 3127422The most likely outcome did not happen: 20:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:2.3.5
- 761591The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.3.7
Friday, 30 October
- 3030412The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 0:1.2.9
Monday, 26 October
- 4329291The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.7
Sunday, 25 October
- 4728241The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 4926251The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.3.1
- 4828241The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 2929412The most likely outcome came true: 20:5Final score 0:5. Model's score: 0:1.2.9
- 5923181The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:1.3.3
Saturday, 24 October
- 3030402The most likely outcome came true: 20:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.6
Friday, 23 October
- 333136XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:0.2.8
Saturday, 17 October
- 5624201The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.3.2
- 6620141The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:0.3.4
- 4129301The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.9
Wednesday, 14 October
- TapatíoTepatitlán FC———4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: —.—
Earlier results: 13 more matches
Wednesday, 14 October
- TapatíoTepatitlán FC———4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: —.—
Sunday, 11 October
- Tlaxcala FCPiratas———4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: —.—
- Venados FCLeones Negros———1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
- DoradosCruz Azul Hidalgo———1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: —.—
- Jaiba Brava del Tampico-MaderoAlacranes de Durango———0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: —.—
- Mineros de ZacatecasCancún FC———2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: —.—
Saturday, 10 October
- TapatíoAtlético La Paz———2:4Final score 2:4. Model's score: —.—
- Tepatitlán FCAtlético Morelia———1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: —.—
Friday, 9 October
- Alebrijes OaxacaCorrecaminos de la UAT———2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: —.—
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético La Paz | 15 | 9 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 15 | 9 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 | Atlético Morelia | 15 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancún FC | 15 | 7 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 | Alacranes de Durango | 15 | 7 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala FC | 15 | 6 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 15 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos de la UAT | 15 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados | 15 | 4 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava del Tampico-Madero | 15 | 4 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán FC | 15 | 2 | -33 | 7 |
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venados FC | 7 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 | Cancún FC | 8 | 5 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Piratas | 7 | 5 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 8 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 5 | Tlaxcala FC | 7 | 5 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 8 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 | Atlético La Paz | 8 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 8 | Atlético Morelia | 7 | 4 | +7 | 13 |
| 9 | Alacranes de Durango | 7 | 4 | +7 | 13 |
| 10 | Tapatío | 8 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 11 | Jaiba Brava del Tampico-Madero | 7 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 3 | +6 | 11 |
| 13 | Correcaminos de la UAT | 8 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 7 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 15 | Tepatitlán FC | 8 | 2 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Dorados | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 8 | 6 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 | Atlético La Paz | 7 | 5 | +10 | 16 |
| 3 | Atlético Morelia | 8 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Alacranes de Durango | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 | Dorados | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 6 | Piratas | 8 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 | Cancún FC | 7 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Correcaminos de la UAT | 7 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala FC | 8 | 1 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Venados FC | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 11 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 8 | 1 | -10 | 6 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | -11 | 6 |
| 13 | Tapatío | 7 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
| 14 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 7 | 1 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Jaiba Brava del Tampico-Madero | 8 | 1 | -13 | 3 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán FC | 7 | 0 | -22 | 0 |
About the competition
- 3.2goals per match
- 49%home wins
- 22%draws
- 29%away wins
- 63%over 2.5 goals
- 58%both teams scored
51%
How often the model’s most likely outcome came true over 790 Liga de Expansion MX matches since 13 September 2023. On average the model gave the favourite 52%, so it does not overstate its confidence. How we check
Season leaders
- Best attackAtlético La Paz36 goals in 15 matches
- Best defencePiratas15 conceded in 15 matches
- Best formAlebrijes Oaxaca12 points in the last 5