Swedish Allsvenskan, round 28 · Saturday, 7 November, 19:30 (UTC+3)

Degerfors — GAIS

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Model prediction for 7 November

Degerfors28%

Draw28%

GAIS44%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

In short

GAIS are slightly stronger: 44% against 28%, draw 28%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

By the strength ratings GAIS are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
GAIS are 121 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: Degerfors — No. 14, 20 pts; GAIS — No. 10, 37 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
Degerfors: 4 defeats in a row.
Last 3 meetings: Degerfors 0 wins, GAIS 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Degerfors — GAIS What is xG?		1.2–1.5
Degerfors not to lose		56%
GAIS not to lose		72%
No draw		72%
Both teams to score: yes		57%
Both teams to score: no		43%
Total over 2.5		52%
Total under 2.5		48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Degerfors
Degerfors goals
GAIS goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Degerfors	GAIS
Goals scored per match	0.5	1.3
Goals conceded per match	1.9	1.1
xG per match	0.92	1.16
Opponents’ xG	1.74	1.57
Shots	11.6	12.8
On target	3.1	3.7
Corners	5.1	4.3
Cards	1.7	2.5
Possession, %	48	48

Averages per match: Degerfors — the last 10, GAIS — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Degerfors

01.11away · Djurgården1:2
28.10Västerås SK0:3
24.10away · Häcken0:4
19.10Kalmar FF1:2
10.10away · Mjällby1:1

GAIS

02.11AIK2:1
29.10away · Kalmar FF1:0
25.10IFK Göteborg1:1
18.10away · Örgryte2:4
10.10Sirius0:1

Head to head

16.05.2026GAIS — Degerfors1:1
19.07.2025Degerfors — GAIS0:3
13.04.2025GAIS — Degerfors2:0

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
9	IFK Göteborg	27	10	8	9	36–46	-10	38
10	GAIS	27	10	7	10	34–27	+7	37
11	Brommapojkarna	27	9	7	11	39–44	-5	34
13	Kalmar FF	27	6	5	16	23–42	-19	23
14, Relegation play-off	Degerfors	27	5	5	17	22–46	-24	20
15, Relegation	Örgryte	27	4	7	16	33–60	-27	19

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

19:30
ÖrgryteVästerås SK
262647
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →