Swedish Allsvenskan, round 28 · Saturday, 7 November, 19:30 (UTC+3)

Örgryte — Västerås SK

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Model prediction for 7 November

Örgryte26%

Draw26%

Västerås SK47%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

In short

Västerås SK are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 26%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

By the strength ratings Västerås SK are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Västerås SK are 76 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: Örgryte — No. 15, 19 pts; Västerås SK — No. 6, 44 pts. A gap of 25 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Örgryte — Västerås SK What is xG?		1.3–1.7
Örgryte not to lose		53%
Västerås SK not to lose		74%
No draw		74%
Both teams to score: yes		62%
Both teams to score: no		38%
Total over 2.5		57%
Total under 2.5		43%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Örgryte
Örgryte goals
Västerås SK goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Örgryte	Västerås SK
Goals scored per match	1.2	1.5
Goals conceded per match	2.0	0.6
xG per match	1.07	1.25
Opponents’ xG	2.02	1.18
Shots	10.3	15.2
On target	3.3	5.3
Corners	3.1	5.6
Cards	1.1	1.4
Possession, %	41	49

Averages per match: Örgryte — the last 10, Västerås SK — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Örgryte

01.11away · Elfsborg1:2
29.10Mjällby1:2
24.10away · Djurgården2:2
18.10GAIS4:2
11.10away · Häcken0:3

Västerås SK

01.11Brommapojkarna1:0
28.10away · Degerfors3:0
23.10Halmstads BK1:2
18.10Mjällby1:0
09.10away · IFK Göteborg0:1

Head to head

24.07.2026Västerås SK — Örgryte2:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
5	Elfsborg	27	12	10	5	41–27	+14	46
6	Västerås SK	27	13	5	9	40–38	+2	44
7	Malmö FF	27	12	4	11	42–36	+6	40
14, Relegation play-off	Degerfors	27	5	5	17	22–46	-24	20
15, Relegation	Örgryte	27	4	7	16	33–60	-27	19
16, Relegation	Halmstads BK	27	4	5	18	18–51	-33	17

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

19:30
DegerforsGAIS
282844
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →