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Ukrainian Premier League, round 12 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — Kryvbas

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Model prediction for 7 November

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi32%
Draw30%
Kryvbas37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 32%, Kryvbas 37%, draw 30%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 58%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Kryvbas are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — No. 10, 9 pts; Kryvbas — No. 15, 6 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi: winless in 5; Kryvbas: winless in 5.
  • Last 2 meetings: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 0 wins, Kryvbas 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — Kryvbas What is xG?1.3–1.4
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi not to lose63%
Kryvbas not to lose68%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes58%
Both teams to score: no42%
Total over 2.550%
Total under 2.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
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  • Kryvbas goals
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatEpitsentr Kamianets-PodilskyiKryvbas
Goals scored per match0.71.0
Goals conceded per match1.51.6
xG per match0.000.00
Opponents’ xG0.000.00
Shots5.76.6
On target1.82.3
Corners3.54.3
Cards2.32.4
Possession, %4644

Averages per match: Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — the last 10, Kryvbas — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi

  • 02.11away · Zorya0:1
  • 24.10FC Kharkiv1:2
  • 18.10away · Karpaty2:2
  • 10.10away · FC Kolos Kovalivka1:3
  • 19.09Liviy Bereh0:2

Kryvbas

  • 02.11Dynamo Kyiv0:2
  • 25.10away · Bukovyna Chernivtsi0:0
  • 18.10LNZ Cherkasy0:3
  • 18.09away · Polissya Zhytomyr0:1
  • 05.09FC Kolos Kovalivka2:2

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Kryvbas — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi2:1
  • 21.09.2025Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — Kryvbas4:5

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9Chornomorets Odesa102358–12-49
10Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi1123610–15-59
11Bukovyna Chernivtsi101637–12-59
14, Relegation play-offObolon Kyiv101454–17-137
15, RelegationKryvbas91357–15-86
16, RelegationKudrivka1112811–29-185

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ukrainian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →