Ukrainian Premier League, round 12 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Kudrivka — Chornomorets Odesa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: Kudrivka 37%, Chornomorets Odesa 32%, draw 30%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Kudrivka are 60 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Kudrivka — No. 16, 5 pts; Chornomorets Odesa — No. 9, 9 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Days of rest before the match: Kudrivka 5, Chornomorets Odesa 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kudrivka — Chornomorets Odesa What is xG? | 1.3–1.3 | |
| Kudrivka not to lose | 68% | |
| Chornomorets Odesa not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Kudrivka
- Kudrivka goals
- Chornomorets Odesa goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Kudrivka | Chornomorets Odesa |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 4.6 | 6.6 |
| On target | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| Cards | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 49 |
Form
- 02.11away · Karpaty0:5
- 23.10away · Dynamo Kyiv1:3
- 17.10Bukovyna Chernivtsi4:1
- 11.10away · LNZ Cherkasy1:2
- 03.10away · Veres Rivne1:2
- 31.10away · Veres Rivne3:1
- 25.10Karpaty0:0
- 17.10away · Zorya1:2
- 10.10FC Kharkiv1:2
- 18.09Obolon Kyiv1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Chornomorets Odesa | 10 | 2 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 11 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 15, Relegation | Kryvbas | 9 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation | Kudrivka | 11 | 1 | -18 | 5 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 4132271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- 3230372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →