FC Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
FC Krasnodar are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Krasnodar are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- FC Krasnodar are 113 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: FC Krasnodar — No. 5, 23 pts; CSKA Moscow — No. 4, 26 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: FC Krasnodar 2 wins, CSKA Moscow 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| FC Krasnodar not to lose | 76% | |
| CSKA Moscow not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Krasnodar
- FC Krasnodar goals
- CSKA Moscow goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FC Krasnodar | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 1.15 | 1.75 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.99 | 1.56 |
| Shots | 14.5 | 16.0 |
| On target | 5.3 | 5.9 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| Cards | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| Possession, % | 59 | 49 |
Form
- 31.10away · Rodina1:2
- 27.10Dinamo Moscow2:1
- 24.10Baltika1:1
- 17.10away · Lokomotiv Moscow3:3
- 13.10Fakel0:2
- 01.11away · FC Orenburg0:0
- 29.10Lokomotiv Moscow3:1
- 25.10Spartak Moscow2:0
- 18.10away · Dinamo Moscow1:3
- 14.10FC Rostov4:0
Head to head
- 17.03.2026FC Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow4:0
- 04.03.2026CSKA Moscow — FC Krasnodar3:1
- 07.12.2025FC Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow3:2
- 31.08.2025CSKA Moscow — FC Krasnodar1:1
- 10.05.2025CSKA Moscow — FC Krasnodar1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | +15 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | +9 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Rostov | 13 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- 2230482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- 5627181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →