Swiss Super League, round 14 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
FC Zürich — St. Gallen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
St. Gallen are clear favourites: 50% against 24% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 69%.
Why
- By the strength ratings St. Gallen are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: FC Zürich — No. 4, 20 pts; St. Gallen — No. 5, 19 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- FC Zürich: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: FC Zürich 2 wins, St. Gallen 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Zürich — St. Gallen What is xG? | 1.4–2.0 | |
| FC Zürich not to lose | 50% | |
| St. Gallen not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 31% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Zürich
- FC Zürich goals
- St. Gallen goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FC Zürich | St. Gallen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.62 | 1.86 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.09 | 1.38 |
| Shots | 13.6 | 18.8 |
| On target | 5.2 | 6.3 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 6.6 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 48 |
Form
- 31.10Servette2:1
- 24.10away · Young Boys0:2
- 11.10Lausanne1:0
- 20.09away · Basel3:1
- 16.09away · Lugano1:4
Head to head
- 26.07.2026St. Gallen — FC Zürich2:1
- 06.04.2026St. Gallen — FC Zürich2:1
- 06.12.2025St. Gallen — FC Zürich1:2
- 27.09.2025FC Zürich — St. Gallen3:1
- 17.05.2025St. Gallen — FC Zürich3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Championship round | Sion | 12 | 7 | +7 | 23 |
| 4, Championship round | FC Zürich | 12 | 6 | -1 | 20 |
| 5, Championship round | St. Gallen | 12 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 6, Championship round | Servette | 12 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
Swiss Super League on the same day
- BaselLuzernpreliminary4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- LausanneFC Vaduzpreliminary3627382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →