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Swiss Super League, round 14 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Lausanne — FC Vaduz

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Model prediction for 22 November

Lausanne36%
Draw27%
FC Vaduz38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Lausanne 36%, FC Vaduz 38%, draw 27%.

3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 68%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Lausanne — No. 12, 6 pts; FC Vaduz — No. 10, 10 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Lausanne: 5 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Lausanne — FC Vaduz What is xG?1.7–1.7
Lausanne not to lose62%
FC Vaduz not to lose64%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes68%
Both teams to score: no32%
Total over 2.564%
Total under 2.536%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Lausanne
  • Lausanne goals
  • FC Vaduz goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatLausanneFC Vaduz
Goals scored per match0.92.1
Goals conceded per match2.12.0
xG per match1.101.87
Opponents’ xG1.801.93
Shots10.514.7
On target3.65.2
Corners5.34.3
Cards2.92.6
Possession, %4858

Averages per match: Lausanne — the last 10, FC Vaduz — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Lausanne

  • 01.11Thun4:5
  • 25.10away · Sion0:1
  • 11.10away · St. Gallen0:1
  • 20.09Lugano0:4
  • 13.09Servette0:1

FC Vaduz

  • 31.10away · Grasshopper2:2
  • 24.10away · Servette1:2
  • 11.10Basel3:0
  • 20.09Thun1:2
  • 13.09away · FC Zürich1:2

Head to head

  • 05.09.2026FC Vaduz — Lausanne3:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9, Relegation roundThun1241724–34-1013
10, Relegation roundFC Vaduz1231824–25-110
11, Relegation roundGrasshopper1224615–28-1310
12, Relegation roundLausanne1213811–22-116

Season 2026/27

Full table

Swiss Super League on the same day

  • FC ZürichSt. Gallenpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.4
  • BaselLuzernpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →