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Botola Pro (Morocco), round 6 · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3) · Moulay Hassan Stadium

FUS Rabat — Hassania Agadir

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Model prediction and result

1:0Came true
FUS Rabat44%
Draw30%
Hassania Agadir26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, FUS Rabat to win (44%), came true.

FUS Rabat are slightly stronger: 44% against 26%, draw 30%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FUS Rabat are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • FUS Rabat are 70 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: FUS Rabat 3 wins, Hassania Agadir 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FUS Rabat — Hassania Agadir What is xG?1.4–1.1
FUS Rabat not to lose74%
Hassania Agadir not to lose56%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.543%
Total under 2.557%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap FUS Rabat
  • FUS Rabat goals
  • Hassania Agadir goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Match events

  1. 42′Anas Serrhat · FUS Rabat1:0
  2. 90′Amine Souane · FUS Rabat
Substitutions (9)
  1. 57′Hamza Bouhaddi ↔ Mohamed Bakhkhach · FUS Rabat
  2. 63′Amine Azri ↔ Salaheddine Benyachou · Hassania Agadir
  3. 63′Imad Riahi ↔ Abdelali Brayim · Hassania Agadir
  4. 63′Tumisang Orebonye ↔ Mustapha Sahd · Hassania Agadir
  5. 67′Hilal Ferdaoussi ↔ Anas Serrhat · FUS Rabat
  6. 71′Abderrahmane Qassak ↔ Jalal Tachtach · Hassania Agadir
  7. 71′Mohamed Ferhane ↔ Montasser Lahtimi · FUS Rabat
  8. 71′Ismail Moutaraji ↔ Issam Naji · FUS Rabat
  9. 89′Ayman Tarrazi ↔ Euclides Cabral · Hassania Agadir

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

FUS Rabat

  1. GKAyoub Lakred
  2. DFFaraji Karmoune
  3. DFAmine El Msane
  4. DFFernando Chamboco
  5. MFAnderson Cruz
  6. MFAbdessamad Mahir
  7. MFAnas Serrhat67′
  8. MFAmine Souane
  9. MFIssam Naji71′
  10. FWMontasser Lahtimi71′
  11. FWMohamed Bakhkhach57′
Came on (4)
  1. MFIsmail Moutaraji19′
  2. MFHilal Ferdaoussi23′
  3. DFHamza Bouhaddi33′
  4. FWMohamed Ferhane19′

Hassania Agadir

  1. GKGaya Merbah
  2. DFEuclides Cabral89′
  3. DFAyoub Boucheta
  4. DFAyoub Qasmi
  5. DFSoulaiman El Amrani
  6. MFMohamed Doumbia
  7. MFJalal Tachtach71′
  8. MFAyoub Benaadi
  9. FWSalaheddine Benyachou63′
  10. FWAbdelali Brayim63′
  11. FWMustapha Sahd63′
Came on (5)
  1. DFAyman Tarrazi1′
  2. FWAmine Azri27′
  3. FWImad Riahi27′
  4. MFAbderrahmane Qassak19′
  5. FWTumisang Orebonye27′

Form

FUS Rabat

  • 25.10away · Renaissance Club Zemamra1:0
  • 13.10Raja Casablanca1:1
  • 09.10away · MAT Tetouan0:0
  • 02.10US Amal Tiznit0:1
  • 26.09away · Union Touarga Sport1:2

Hassania Agadir

  • 28.10away · Raja Casablanca1:1
  • 12.10FAR Rabat2:2
  • 08.10away · Renaissance Club Zemamra5:2
  • 03.10MAS Fès1:2
  • 27.09away · KACM3:2

Head to head

  • 04.06.2026Hassania Agadir — FUS Rabat0:0
  • 02.11.2025FUS Rabat — Hassania Agadir1:2
  • 08.05.2025FUS Rabat — Hassania Agadir2:1
  • 13.12.2024Hassania Agadir — FUS Rabat0:1
  • 16.02.2024Hassania Agadir — FUS Rabat1:3

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6FAR Rabat42205–2+38
7Hassania Agadir622212–10+28
8Difaâ El Jadida622213–1308
9MAS Fès62225–508
10FUS Rabat62224–408
11Union Touarga Sport62224–408

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • Hassania AgadirRS Berkane6 November · Botola Pro
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
  • MAS FèsFUS Rabat7 November · Botola Pro
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:11.9

Botola Pro on the same day

  • US Amal TiznitKACM
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.5
  • Wydad CasablancaMAT Tetouan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →