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Botola Pro (Morocco), round 6 · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3) · Stade Mohamed V

Wydad Casablanca — MAT Tetouan

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Model prediction and result

1:0Came true
Wydad Casablanca62%
Draw25%
MAT Tetouan13%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Wydad Casablanca to win (62%), came true.

Wydad Casablanca are clear favourites: 62% against 13% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 40%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Wydad Casablanca are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
  • Wydad Casablanca are 215 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Wydad Casablanca: unbeaten in 4; MAT Tetouan: winless in 5.
  • Last 4 meetings: Wydad Casablanca 3 wins, MAT Tetouan 0, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wydad Casablanca — MAT Tetouan What is xG?1.6–0.6
Wydad Casablanca not to lose87%
MAT Tetouan not to lose38%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes40%
Both teams to score: no60%
Total over 2.539%
Total under 2.561%

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  • Handicap Wydad Casablanca
  • Wydad Casablanca goals
  • MAT Tetouan goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Match events

  1. 17′Hicham Zeghari · MAT Tetouan
  2. 21′Joseph Bakasu · Wydad Casablanca
  3. 40′Silvère Ganvoula · penalty · Wydad Casablanca1:0
  4. 61′Oussama Zemraoui · Wydad Casablanca
  5. 83′Zakaria Benabbou · MAT Tetouan
  6. 86′Hamza Hannouri · Wydad Casablanca
Substitutions (8)
  1. 46′Mouad Enzo ↔ Nizar Al Rashdan · Wydad Casablanca
  2. 80′Hamza Hannouri ↔ Silvère Ganvoula · Wydad Casablanca
  3. 80′Walid Atik ↔ Mohamed Moufid · Wydad Casablanca
  4. 83′Yassine Aboursas ↔ Imad Arbi · MAT Tetouan
  5. 84′Haitam Hamani ↔ Aymane El Hassouni · Wydad Casablanca
  6. 84′Mohammed El Amraoui ↔ Diae-Eddine Eddaoudi · MAT Tetouan
  7. 92′Anwar Oussarhan ↔ Achraf Marzak · MAT Tetouan
  8. 95′Yassine Jabrane ↔ Oussama Zemraoui · Wydad Casablanca

Match statistics

Wydad CasablancaMAT Tetouan
  • 67Possession, %33
  • 8Shots3
  • 3On target2
  • 4Corners2
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Wydad Casablanca

  1. GKRachid Ghanimi
  2. DFYahia Attiyat Allah
  3. DFMohamed Moufid80′
  4. DFIssoufou Dayo
  5. DFSallah Moussaddaq
  6. MFNizar Al Rashdan46′
  7. MFAdil Khalloufi
  8. MFAymane El Hassouni84′
  9. MFJoseph Bakasu
  10. FWSilvère Ganvoula80′
  11. FWOussama Zemraoui
Came on (4)
  1. FWMouad Enzo44′
  2. FWHamza Hannouri10′
  3. DFWalid Atik10′
  4. FWHaitam Hamani6′

MAT Tetouan

  1. GKZakaria Benabbou
  2. DFSoulayman Driouech
  3. DFWissam Erbati
  4. DFAchraf Marzak
  5. DFImad Arbi83′
  6. MFHicham Zeghari
  7. MFMouad Karmoun
  8. MFAymane Zerri
  9. FWMohamed Kassou
  10. FWDiae-Eddine Eddaoudi84′
  11. FWNadir El Fadili
Came on (2)
  1. DFYassine Aboursas7′
  2. FWMohammed El Amraoui6′

Form

Wydad Casablanca

  • 24.10away · Union Touarga Sport1:0
  • 18.10US Amal Tiznit1:1
  • 11.10CODM Meknès0:0
  • 03.10away · Difaâ El Jadida2:0
  • 26.09Widad Temara1:3

MAT Tetouan

  • 24.10Widad Temara0:3
  • 17.10away · Difaâ El Jadida1:4
  • 09.10FUS Rabat0:0
  • 02.10away · Ittihad Tanger1:1
  • 27.09RS Berkane0:0

Head to head

  • 04.01.2025MAT Tetouan — Wydad Casablanca1:2
  • 14.09.2024Wydad Casablanca — MAT Tetouan1:0
  • 14.06.2024Wydad Casablanca — MAT Tetouan1:0
  • 07.01.2024MAT Tetouan — Wydad Casablanca0:0

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, CAF Champions LeagueCODM Meknès63219–4+511
3, CAF Confederation CupWydad Casablanca63216–4+211
4Ittihad Tanger63128–7+110
14, Relegation play-offUS Amal Tiznit61146–12-64
15, RelegationMAT Tetouan60332–9-73
16, RelegationRenaissance Club Zemamra60155–12-71

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • KACMWydad Casablanca7 November · Botola Pro
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.9
  • MAT TetouanCODM Meknès7 November · Botola Pro
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.0

Botola Pro on the same day

  • US Amal TiznitKACM
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.5
  • FUS RabatHassania Agadir
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →