Botola Pro (Morocco), round 6 · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3) · Stade El Massira
US Amal Tiznit — KACM
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:1Came true
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, KACM to win (48%), came true.
KACM are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings KACM are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- KACM: unbeaten in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: US Amal Tiznit — KACM What is xG? | 1.0–1.5 | |
| US Amal Tiznit not to lose | 52% | |
| KACM not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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Match events
- 13′Abdallah Haimoud · KACM
- 23′Ayoub Al-Maamouri · KACM
- 35′Saliu Popoola · US Amal Tiznit
- 42′Jawad Ghabra · KACM0:1
- 42′Jawad Ghabra · KACM
- 69′Mohamed Dadssi · KACM
- 86′Oussama Haffari · KACM
- 90′Ismail El Alami · KACM
- 92′Ismail El Alami · KACM
Substitutions (9)
- 46′Hamza Rafaa ↔ Abdallah Haimoud · KACM
- 46′Mohamed Dadssi ↔ Youssef Raiani · KACM
- 57′Nourddine Koumah ↔ Yassine Zraa · US Amal Tiznit
- 57′Hatim Bouhbouh ↔ Mamadou Tounkara · US Amal Tiznit
- 70′Youssef Anouar ↔ Saliu Popoola · US Amal Tiznit
- 70′Younes Sakhi ↔ Yllan Ait-Ouarab · US Amal Tiznit
- 76′Abdelkarim Baadi ↔ Mohamed Dadssi · KACM
- 76′Khalil Tamrani ↔ Saleh Essallami · KACM
- 89′Mouad Goulouss ↔ Ayoub Adila · US Amal Tiznit
Match statistics
US Amal TiznitKACM
- 52Possession, %48
- 8Shots10
- 4On target4
- 5Corners5
- 1Yellow cards6
- 0Red cards1
Lineups
US Amal Tiznit
- GKYoussef Faqir
- DFJad Assouab
- DFAyoub El Malki
- DFTarik Asstati
- DFOmar Housni
- MFMamadou Tounkara57′
- MFAyoub Adila89′
- MFSaliu Popoola70′
- FWZakaria Essalhi
- FWYassine Zraa57′
- FWYllan Ait-Ouarab70′
Came on (5)
- FWYoussef Anouar20′
- DFHatim Bouhbouh33′
- FWYounes Sakhi20′
- MFNourddine Koumah33′
- MFMouad Goulouss1′
KACM
- GKAmine El Ouaad
- DFAbdellah Bouallali
- DFHamza Smaali
- DFNabil Khali
- DFIsmail El Alami
- MFAbdallah Haimoud46′
- MFOussama Mahrous
- MFYoussef Raiani46′
- FWAyoub Al-Maamouri
- FWSaleh Essallami76′
- FWJawad Ghabra
Came on (4)
- MFHamza Rafaa44′
- MFMohamed Dadssi30′
- MFKhalil Tamrani14′
- DFAbdelkarim Baadi14′
Form
- 24.10CODM Meknès1:2
- 18.10away · Wydad Casablanca1:1
- 10.10Difaâ El Jadida2:5
- 02.10away · FUS Rabat1:0
- 24.09Ittihad Tanger1:3
- 25.10Difaâ El Jadida1:1
- 18.10away · Widad Temara1:0
- 10.10Ittihad Tanger2:1
- 03.10away · CODM Meknès1:0
- 27.09Hassania Agadir2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, CAF Champions League | KACM | 6 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 2, CAF Champions League | CODM Meknès | 6 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Raja Casablanca | 5 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | US Amal Tiznit | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 15, Relegation | MAT Tetouan | 6 | 0 | -7 | 3 |
Next matches
- Union Touarga SportUS Amal Tiznit6 November · Botola Pro5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- KACMWydad Casablanca7 November · Botola Pro393427XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.9
Botola Pro on the same day
- 6225131The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.2
- 4430261The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →