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Tanzania Premier League, round 12 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Geita Gold FC — Mashujaa

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Model prediction for 22 November

Geita Gold FC40%
Draw31%
Mashujaa28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Geita Gold FC are slightly stronger: 40% against 28%, draw 31%.

2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).

Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Geita Gold FC — No. 13, 9 pts; Mashujaa — No. 8, 15 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Geita Gold FC: winless in 5.
  • Last 2 meetings: Geita Gold FC 0 wins, Mashujaa 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Geita Gold FC — Mashujaa What is xG?1.2–0.9
Geita Gold FC not to lose72%
Mashujaa not to lose60%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.538%
Total under 2.562%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Geita Gold FC
  • Geita Gold FC goals
  • Mashujaa goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Geita Gold FC

  • 01.11away · Polisi Tanzania FC0:1
  • 29.10away · TRA United1:1
  • 25.10Fountain Gate FC1:1
  • 16.10Dodoma Jiji FC0:3
  • 08.10away · Pamba Jiji0:4

Mashujaa

  • 02.11Pamba Jiji1:0
  • 27.10away · Young Africans1:2
  • 13.10away · Simba SC1:6
  • 08.10Polisi Tanzania FC2:1
  • 09.09Singida Black Stars2:1

Head to head

  • 25.02.2024Geita Gold FC — Mashujaa1:3
  • 21.08.2023Mashujaa — Geita Gold FC0:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Namungo FC1150612–15-315
8Mashujaa1050511–15-415
9Singida Black Stars1042415–12+314
12TRA United1025310–10011
13Geita Gold FC1123611–18-79
14Pamba Jiji1113710–17-76

Season 2026/27

Full table

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →