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Brazilian Serie B, round 37 · Monday, 9 November, (UTC+3)

Goiás — Ponte Preta

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Model prediction for 9 November

Goiás84%
Draw12%
Ponte Preta4%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Goiás are clear favourites: 84% against 4% for the opponent, draw 12%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 44%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Goiás are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
  • Goiás are 402 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Goiás — No. 9, 55 pts; Ponte Preta — No. 20, 15 pts. A gap of 40 pts.
  • Goiás: unbeaten in 5; Ponte Preta: winless in 5.
  • Last 3 meetings: Goiás 2 wins, Ponte Preta 0, 1 draw.
  • Days of rest before the match: Goiás 6, Ponte Preta 9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Goiás — Ponte Preta What is xG?2.4–0.6
Goiás not to lose96%
Ponte Preta not to lose16%
No draw88%
Both teams to score: yes44%
Both teams to score: no56%
Total over 2.558%
Total under 2.542%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Goiás
  • Goiás goals
  • Ponte Preta goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatGoiásPonte Preta
Goals scored per match1.30.5
Goals conceded per match1.02.4
xG per match1.450.72
Opponents’ xG1.702.04
Shots17.39.5
On target5.53.3
Corners6.02.3
Cards2.33.7
Possession, %5833

Averages per match: Goiás — the last 10, Ponte Preta — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Goiás

  • 03.11CRB2:1
  • 28.10away · Ceará2:0
  • 20.10Náutico0:0
  • 12.10away · Operário-PR2:0
  • 07.10Athletic Club MG2:1

Ponte Preta

  • 31.10away · Criciúma0:2
  • 25.10Fortaleza2:2
  • 17.10Atlético-GO1:1
  • 13.10away · Novorizontino1:5
  • 07.10Juventude0:2

Head to head

  • 18.07.2026Ponte Preta — Goiás1:2
  • 17.08.2024Ponte Preta — Goiás1:1
  • 29.04.2024Goiás — Ponte Preta3:0

Full record: 3 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8CRB361671354–51+355
9Goiás361671338–41-355
10São Bernardo3614101251–40+1152
19, RelegationAmérica-MG36752426–55-2926
20, RelegationPonte Preta36362721–78-5715

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao Serie B on the same day

  • CearáAmérica-MG
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →