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Austrian Bundesliga, round 13 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Grazer AK — Rapid Wien

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Model prediction for 21 November

Grazer AK18%
Draw27%
Rapid Wien55%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Rapid Wien are clear favourites: 55% against 18% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Rapid Wien are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
  • Rapid Wien are 146 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: Grazer AK — No. 9, 10 pts; Rapid Wien — No. 1, 30 pts. A gap of 20 pts.
  • Grazer AK: winless in 5; Rapid Wien: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Grazer AK 1 win, Rapid Wien 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Grazer AK — Rapid Wien What is xG?1.0–1.8
Grazer AK not to lose45%
Rapid Wien not to lose82%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Grazer AK
  • Grazer AK goals
  • Rapid Wien goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatGrazer AKRapid Wien
Goals scored per match0.83.2
Goals conceded per match2.40.9
xG per match1.192.46
Opponents’ xG1.801.04
Shots14.914.7
On target4.56.3
Corners4.45.3
Cards2.61.7
Possession, %4757

Averages per match: Grazer AK — the last 10, Rapid Wien — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Grazer AK

  • 30.10Hartberg0:4
  • 24.10away · WSG Tirol1:1
  • 18.10away · Sturm Graz1:6
  • 10.10Salzburg0:0
  • 19.09Austria Wien2:2

Rapid Wien

  • 01.11away · Austria Wien2:0
  • 24.10Austria Lustenau5:1
  • 16.10Hartberg3:1
  • 11.10away · LASK2:0
  • 18.09WSG Tirol3:0

Head to head

  • 16.08.2026Rapid Wien — Grazer AK8:0
  • 23.11.2025Rapid Wien — Grazer AK1:2
  • 21.09.2025Grazer AK — Rapid Wien1:1
  • 16.03.2025Rapid Wien — Grazer AK3:0
  • 27.10.2024Grazer AK — Rapid Wien1:1

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Championship roundRapid Wien11100133–9+2430
2, Championship roundSalzburg1183029–6+2327
8, Relegation roundAltach1131711–17-610
9, Relegation roundGrazer AK112458–27-1910
10, Relegation roundAustria Lustenau1122713–29-168

Season 2026/27

Full table

Austrian Bundesliga on the same day

  • LASKHartbergpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
  • WSG TirolAustria Lustenaupreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →