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Austrian Bundesliga, round 13 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

WSG Tirol — Austria Lustenau

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Model prediction for 21 November

WSG Tirol58%
Draw24%
Austria Lustenau18%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

WSG Tirol are clear favourites: 58% against 18% for the opponent, draw 24%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 61%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings WSG Tirol are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
  • WSG Tirol are 163 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: WSG Tirol — No. 7, 12 pts; Austria Lustenau — No. 10, 8 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Austria Lustenau: 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: WSG Tirol 3 wins, Austria Lustenau 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: WSG Tirol — Austria Lustenau What is xG?2.0–1.1
WSG Tirol not to lose82%
Austria Lustenau not to lose42%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes61%
Both teams to score: no39%
Total over 2.561%
Total under 2.539%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap WSG Tirol
  • WSG Tirol goals
  • Austria Lustenau goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatWSG TirolAustria Lustenau
Goals scored per match1.31.2
Goals conceded per match1.62.8
xG per match1.381.19
Opponents’ xG1.752.52
Shots13.712.4
On target4.73.9
Corners5.85.0
Cards1.82.1
Possession, %5141

Averages per match: WSG Tirol — the last 10, Austria Lustenau — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

WSG Tirol

  • 31.10away · LASK1:2
  • 24.10Grazer AK1:1
  • 18.10away · Wolfsberger AC2:0
  • 10.10Ried1:2
  • 18.09away · Rapid Wien0:3

Austria Lustenau

  • 01.11away · Salzburg1:5
  • 24.10away · Rapid Wien1:5
  • 17.10LASK0:4
  • 11.10away · Hartberg3:4
  • 19.09Altach2:0

Head to head

  • 28.08.2026Austria Lustenau — WSG Tirol0:4
  • 27.04.2024WSG Tirol — Austria Lustenau0:0
  • 30.03.2024Austria Lustenau — WSG Tirol1:2
  • 11.02.2024WSG Tirol — Austria Lustenau0:2
  • 17.09.2023Austria Lustenau — WSG Tirol2:3

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Championship roundRied1144319–18+116
7, Relegation roundWSG Tirol1133514–17-312
8, Relegation roundAltach1131711–17-610
9, Relegation roundGrazer AK112458–27-1910
10, Relegation roundAustria Lustenau1122713–29-168
11, Relegation roundAustria Wien1121810–22-127

Season 2026/27

Full table

Austrian Bundesliga on the same day

  • LASKHartbergpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
  • Grazer AKRapid Wienpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →