Austrian Bundesliga, round 13 · Saturday, 21 November, 19:00 (UTC+3)

LASK — Hartberg

Model prediction for 21 November

LASK73%

Draw18%

Hartberg9%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

LASK are clear favourites: 73% against 9% for the opponent, draw 18%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

By the strength ratings LASK are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
LASK are 190 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: LASK — No. 3, 22 pts; Hartberg — No. 5, 17 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
Last 5 meetings: LASK 1 win, Hartberg 0, 4 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: LASK — Hartberg What is xG?		2.3–0.9
LASK not to lose		91%
Hartberg not to lose		27%
No draw		82%
Both teams to score: yes		56%
Both teams to score: no		44%
Total over 2.5		63%
Total under 2.5		37%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap LASK
LASK goals
Hartberg goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	LASK	Hartberg
Goals scored per match	2.1	2.0
Goals conceded per match	2.0	1.8
xG per match	1.95	1.58
Opponents’ xG	1.87	1.46
Shots	17.1	12.8
On target	5.3	4.9
Corners	5.6	4.5
Cards	1.8	1.6
Possession, %	52	47

Averages per match: LASK — the last 10, Hartberg — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

LASK

03.11Slovan Bratislava4:0
31.10WSG Tirol2:1
25.10Salzburg1:3
21.10away · Sporting CP3:2
17.10away · Austria Lustenau4:0

Hartberg

30.10away · Grazer AK4:0
24.10Wolfsberger AC1:0
16.10away · Rapid Wien1:3
11.10Austria Lustenau4:3
20.09LASK3:3

Head to head

20.09.2026Hartberg — LASK3:3
26.04.2026Hartberg — LASK1:5
13.03.2026LASK — Hartberg0:0
06.12.2025Hartberg — LASK2:2
05.10.2025LASK — Hartberg3:3

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
2, Championship round	Salzburg	11	8	3	0	29–6	+23	27
3, Championship round	LASK	11	7	1	3	26–13	+13	22
4, Championship round	Sturm Graz	11	5	4	2	19–13	+6	19
5, Championship round	Hartberg	11	5	2	4	20–19	+1	17
6, Championship round	Ried	11	4	4	3	19–18	+1	16

Season 2026/27

Full table

Austrian Bundesliga on the same day

19:00
WSG TirolAustria Lustenaupreliminary
582418
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
21:30
Grazer AKRapid Wienpreliminary
182755
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →