Swedish Allsvenskan, round 29 · Sunday, 22 November, 16:00 (UTC+3)

Häcken — Elfsborg

Model prediction for 22 November

Häcken50%

Draw26%

Elfsborg24%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Häcken are clear favourites: 50% against 24% for the opponent, draw 26%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 61%.

Why

By the strength ratings Häcken are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Häcken are 114 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: Häcken — No. 4, 49 pts; Elfsborg — No. 5, 46 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
Häcken: unbeaten in 5; Elfsborg: unbeaten in 5.
Last 5 meetings: Häcken 2 wins, Elfsborg 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Häcken — Elfsborg What is xG?		1.8–1.2
Häcken not to lose		76%
Elfsborg not to lose		50%
No draw		74%
Both teams to score: yes		61%
Both teams to score: no		39%
Total over 2.5		58%
Total under 2.5		42%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Häcken
Häcken goals
Elfsborg goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Häcken	Elfsborg
Goals scored per match	1.9	1.7
Goals conceded per match	0.4	0.9
xG per match	1.66	1.48
Opponents’ xG	0.93	0.93
Shots	17.9	13.7
On target	6.4	4.4
Corners	6.2	7.3
Cards	1.2	1.3
Possession, %	53	52

Averages per match: Häcken — the last 10, Elfsborg — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Häcken

01.11IFK Göteborg1:0
28.10away · Brommapojkarna0:0
24.10Degerfors4:0
18.10away · Malmö FF1:0
11.10Örgryte3:0

Elfsborg

01.11Örgryte2:1
27.10away · AIK2:2
23.10Malmö FF0:0
18.10away · Sirius2:2
12.10Halmstads BK4:0

Head to head

25.05.2026Elfsborg — Häcken1:1
03.08.2025Häcken — Elfsborg1:2
06.07.2025Elfsborg — Häcken0:2
19.10.2024Elfsborg — Häcken1:3
14.07.2024Häcken — Elfsborg3:5

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
3, Europa League or Conference League	Djurgården	27	16	4	7	55–25	+30	52
4	Häcken	27	13	10	4	48–30	+18	49
5	Elfsborg	27	12	10	5	41–27	+14	46
6	Västerås SK	27	13	5	9	40–38	+2	44

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

16:00
SiriusDjurgårdenpreliminary
332740
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
18:30
BrommapojkarnaHalmstads BKpreliminary
512524
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →