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Swedish Allsvenskan, round 29 · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)

Hammarby — IFK Göteborg

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Model prediction for 23 November

Hammarby78%
Draw15%
IFK Göteborg7%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Hammarby are clear favourites: 78% against 7% for the opponent, draw 15%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.9.

Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Hammarby are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
  • Hammarby are 241 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Hammarby — No. 2, 55 pts; IFK Göteborg — No. 9, 38 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
  • Hammarby: 4 wins in a row; IFK Göteborg: winless in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Hammarby 4 wins, IFK Göteborg 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hammarby — IFK Göteborg What is xG?2.5–0.8
Hammarby not to lose93%
IFK Göteborg not to lose22%
No draw85%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.563%
Total under 2.537%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Hammarby
  • Hammarby goals
  • IFK Göteborg goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatHammarbyIFK Göteborg
Goals scored per match1.61.4
Goals conceded per match0.70.8
xG per match2.161.35
Opponents’ xG0.921.19
Shots21.515.7
On target7.35.1
Corners7.46.8
Cards1.71.6
Possession, %6350

Averages per match: Hammarby — the last 10, IFK Göteborg — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Hammarby

  • 01.11away · Malmö FF2:1
  • 29.10Sirius2:0
  • 25.10away · Mjällby2:0
  • 18.10away · Halmstads BK1:0
  • 11.10Djurgården0:1

IFK Göteborg

  • 01.11away · Häcken0:1
  • 28.10Djurgården1:1
  • 25.10away · GAIS1:1
  • 17.10away · AIK2:2
  • 09.10Västerås SK1:0

Head to head

  • 09.05.2026IFK Göteborg — Hammarby0:1
  • 05.10.2025IFK Göteborg — Hammarby1:2
  • 30.03.2025Hammarby — IFK Göteborg4:0
  • 01.09.2024IFK Göteborg — Hammarby0:1
  • 15.07.2024Hammarby — IFK Göteborg0:1

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Champions League qualifyingSirius27184558–34+2458
2, Europa League or Conference LeagueHammarby27174656–22+3455
3, Europa League or Conference LeagueDjurgården27164755–25+3052
8AIK27108943–47-438
9IFK Göteborg27108936–46-1038
10GAIS271071034–27+737

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

  • ÖrgryteKalmar FFpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →