Austrian Bundesliga, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, 16:30 (UTC+3)

Hartberg — Altach

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Model prediction for 8 November

Hartberg36%

Draw32%

Altach32%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: Hartberg 36%, Altach 32%, draw 32%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Hartberg are 188 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: Hartberg — No. 5, 17 pts; Altach — No. 8, 10 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Hartberg 2 wins, Altach 0, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hartberg — Altach What is xG?		1.4–1.2
Hartberg not to lose		68%
Altach not to lose		64%
No draw		68%
Both teams to score: yes		57%
Both teams to score: no		43%
Total over 2.5		51%
Total under 2.5		49%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Hartberg
Hartberg goals
Altach goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Hartberg	Altach
Goals scored per match	2.0	1.1
Goals conceded per match	1.8	1.6
xG per match	1.58	1.19
Opponents’ xG	1.46	1.22
Shots	12.8	13.5
On target	4.9	4.1
Corners	4.5	4.6
Cards	1.6	1.4
Possession, %	47	50

Averages per match: Hartberg — the last 10, Altach — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Hartberg

30.10away · Grazer AK4:0
24.10Wolfsberger AC1:0
16.10away · Rapid Wien1:3
11.10Austria Lustenau4:3
20.09LASK3:3

Altach

31.10Ried1:1
23.10Austria Wien2:1
18.10away · Salzburg0:3
11.10Wolfsberger AC3:0
19.09away · Austria Lustenau0:2

Head to head

22.08.2026Altach — Hartberg1:2
14.02.2026Hartberg — Altach0:0
25.10.2025Altach — Hartberg2:2
04.05.2025Hartberg — Altach2:0
19.04.2025Altach — Hartberg1:1

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
4, Championship round	Sturm Graz	11	5	4	2	19–13	+6	19
5, Championship round	Hartberg	11	5	2	4	20–19	+1	17
6, Championship round	Ried	11	4	4	3	19–18	+1	16
7, Relegation round	WSG Tirol	11	3	3	5	14–17	-3	12
8, Relegation round	Altach	11	3	1	7	11–17	-6	10
9, Relegation round	Grazer AK	11	2	4	5	8–27	-19	10

Season 2026/27

Full table

Austrian Bundesliga on the same day

16:30
WSG TirolAustria Wien
383230
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
19:00
Sturm GrazSalzburg
332937
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →