Austrian Bundesliga, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, 16:30 (UTC+3)

WSG Tirol — Austria Wien

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Model prediction for 8 November

WSG Tirol38%

Draw32%

Austria Wien30%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

In short

WSG Tirol are slightly stronger: 38% against 30%, draw 32%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 60%.

Why

By the strength ratings Austria Wien are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
WSG Tirol are 90 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: WSG Tirol — No. 7, 12 pts; Austria Wien — No. 11, 7 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
Austria Wien: 4 defeats in a row.
Last 5 meetings: WSG Tirol 1 win, Austria Wien 3, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: WSG Tirol — Austria Wien What is xG?		1.4–1.3
WSG Tirol not to lose		70%
Austria Wien not to lose		62%
No draw		68%
Both teams to score: yes		60%
Both teams to score: no		40%
Total over 2.5		53%
Total under 2.5		47%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap WSG Tirol
WSG Tirol goals
Austria Wien goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	WSG Tirol	Austria Wien
Goals scored per match	1.3	1.0
Goals conceded per match	1.6	1.9
xG per match	1.38	1.07
Opponents’ xG	1.75	1.82
Shots	13.7	11.5
On target	4.7	3.1
Corners	5.8	5.2
Cards	1.8	1.6
Possession, %	51	51

Averages per match: WSG Tirol — the last 10, Austria Wien — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

WSG Tirol

31.10away · LASK1:2
24.10Grazer AK1:1
18.10away · Wolfsberger AC2:0
10.10Ried1:2
18.09away · Rapid Wien0:3

Austria Wien

01.11Rapid Wien0:2
23.10away · Altach1:2
17.10away · Ried2:3
10.10Sturm Graz0:2
19.09away · Grazer AK2:2

Head to head

02.09.2026Austria Wien — WSG Tirol0:1
29.11.2025Austria Wien — WSG Tirol0:0
18.10.2025WSG Tirol — Austria Wien2:3
16.03.2025WSG Tirol — Austria Wien0:2
26.10.2024Austria Wien — WSG Tirol3:0

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
6, Championship round	Ried	11	4	4	3	19–18	+1	16
7, Relegation round	WSG Tirol	11	3	3	5	14–17	-3	12
8, Relegation round	Altach	11	3	1	7	11–17	-6	10
10, Relegation round	Austria Lustenau	11	2	2	7	13–29	-16	8
11, Relegation round	Austria Wien	11	2	1	8	10–22	-12	7
12, Relegation round	Wolfsberger AC	11	1	3	7	8–20	-12	6

Season 2026/27

Full table

Austrian Bundesliga on the same day

16:30
HartbergAltach
363232
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
19:00
Sturm GrazSalzburg
332937
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →