Ghana Premier League, round 12 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Hearts of Oak — Aduana Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Hearts of Oak are clear favourites: 56% against 14% for the opponent, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 1.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 21%, both teams to score — 20%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hearts of Oak are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Hearts of Oak are 120 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Hearts of Oak — No. 3, 17 pts; Aduana Stars — No. 4, 16 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Hearts of Oak 0 wins, Aduana Stars 2, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hearts of Oak — Aduana Stars What is xG? | 1.1–0.4 | |
| Hearts of Oak not to lose | 86% | |
| Aduana Stars not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 20% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 80% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 21% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 79% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hearts of Oak
- Hearts of Oak goals
- Aduana Stars goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Debibi0:1
- 23.10Holy Stars1:0
- 17.10away · Vision FC1:0
- 11.10Port City1:0
- 03.10away · Dreams FC0:0
- 01.11Berekum Chelsea2:0
- 25.10away · Medeama SC0:1
- 18.10Ashanti Gold1:0
- 11.10away · Young Apostles0:1
- 04.10All Blacks2:1
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Hearts of Oak — Aduana Stars0:0
- 21.12.2025Aduana Stars — Hearts of Oak0:0
- 16.04.2025Aduana Stars — Hearts of Oak2:0
- 04.10.2024Hearts of Oak — Aduana Stars0:0
- 19.05.2024Hearts of Oak — Aduana Stars0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Samartex | 9 | 5 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 9 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Aduana Stars | 9 | 5 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | Port City | 9 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- Bechem UnitedAsante Kotoko SCpreliminary5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Berekum ChelseaYoung Apostlespreliminary6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Bibiani Gold StarsAll Blackspreliminary5525201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Dreams FCSamartexpreliminary5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Karela UnitedHoly Starspreliminary6124151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:01.9
- Medeama SCAshanti Goldpreliminary6918131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Port CityHeart of Lionspreliminary6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Vision FCDebibipreliminary6421151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →