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Ghana Premier League, round 12 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Port City — Heart of Lions

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Model prediction for 22 November

Port City61%
Draw23%
Heart of Lions16%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Port City are clear favourites: 61% against 16% for the opponent, draw 23%.

2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 34%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Port City are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • Port City are 146 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Port City — No. 5, 15 pts; Heart of Lions — No. 12, 11 pts. A gap of 4 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Port City — Heart of Lions What is xG?1.6–0.6
Port City not to lose84%
Heart of Lions not to lose39%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes34%
Both teams to score: no66%
Total over 2.536%
Total under 2.564%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Port City
  • Port City goals
  • Heart of Lions goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Port City

  • 31.10away · Vision FC0:0
  • 25.10away · Karela United2:1
  • 18.10Dreams FC1:1
  • 11.10away · Hearts of Oak0:1
  • 04.10Bechem United3:1

Heart of Lions

  • 01.11Bechem United2:1
  • 25.10away · Bibiani Gold Stars1:2
  • 17.10Berekum Chelsea0:2
  • 11.10away · Medeama SC1:3
  • 04.10Ashanti Gold3:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Aduana Stars95139–5+416
5Port City943211–7+415
6Ashanti Gold942312–10+214
11Berekum Chelsea932410–11-111
12Heart of Lions932410–13-311
13Vision FC924311–11010

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ghana Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →