Ghana Premier League, round 12 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Karela United — Holy Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Karela United are clear favourites: 61% against 15% for the opponent, draw 24%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 31%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Karela United are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Karela United are 99 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Karela United — No. 15, 10 pts; Holy Stars — No. 10, 12 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 4 meetings: Karela United 1 win, Holy Stars 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Karela United — Holy Stars What is xG? | 1.4–0.5 | |
| Karela United not to lose | 85% | |
| Holy Stars not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 31% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 69% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 32% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Karela United
- Karela United goals
- Holy Stars goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Young Apostles0:0
- 25.10Port City1:2
- 18.10away · All Blacks0:2
- 11.10Dreams FC1:0
- 01.10away · Asante Kotoko SC0:1
- 01.11Dreams FC0:1
- 23.10away · Hearts of Oak0:1
- 18.10Bechem United1:0
- 11.10away · Bibiani Gold Stars0:2
- 04.10Berekum Chelsea1:0
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Holy Stars — Karela United1:0
- 22.11.2025Karela United — Holy Stars3:2
- 09.03.2025Karela United — Holy Stars1:1
- 13.10.2024Holy Stars — Karela United1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Asante Kotoko SC | 9 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Holy Stars | 9 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Berekum Chelsea | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 9 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Karela United | 9 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Debibi | 9 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
Ghana Premier League on the same day
- Bechem UnitedAsante Kotoko SCpreliminary5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Berekum ChelseaYoung Apostlespreliminary6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Bibiani Gold StarsAll Blackspreliminary5525201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Dreams FCSamartexpreliminary5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.0
- Hearts of OakAduana Starspreliminary5630141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.4
- Medeama SCAshanti Goldpreliminary6918131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Port CityHeart of Lionspreliminary6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- Vision FCDebibipreliminary6421151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →