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Botola Pro (Morocco), round 6 · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3) · Tangier Grand Stadium

Ittihad Tanger — Renaissance Club Zemamra

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Model prediction and result

1:0Came true
Ittihad Tanger43%
Draw31%
Renaissance Club Zemamra26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Ittihad Tanger to win (43%), came true.

Ittihad Tanger are slightly stronger: 43% against 26%, draw 31%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Ittihad Tanger are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • Ittihad Tanger are 173 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Renaissance Club Zemamra: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Ittihad Tanger 2 wins, Renaissance Club Zemamra 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ittihad Tanger — Renaissance Club Zemamra What is xG?1.3–1.0
Ittihad Tanger not to lose74%
Renaissance Club Zemamra not to lose57%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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  • Ittihad Tanger goals
  • Renaissance Club Zemamra goals
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Match events

  1. 71′Abdel Maâli · Ittihad Tanger
  2. 74′James Ajako · Renaissance Club Zemamra
  3. 76′Ibrahima Dieng · penalty · Ittihad Tanger1:0
Substitutions (9)
  1. 61′Anass El Ghannouj ↔ Abdellatif El Bajjani · Renaissance Club Zemamra
  2. 77′Abdelaziz El Hamzaoui ↔ Jawad Essaghir · Renaissance Club Zemamra
  3. 77′Mouad Rahni ↔ Youness Moukhlis · Renaissance Club Zemamra
  4. 80′Akram El Wahabi ↔ Senad Jarović · Ittihad Tanger
  5. 86′Hamza El Moudene ↔ Mohamed El Arouch · Ittihad Tanger
  6. 86′Ennaama El Bellali ↔ Saad Karouat · Ittihad Tanger
  7. 87′Bilal Soufi ↔ Aiman El Aatga · Renaissance Club Zemamra
  8. 87′Oussama El Attar ↔ Mohamed Kamal · Renaissance Club Zemamra
  9. 91′Akram Tali ↔ Abdel Maâli · Ittihad Tanger

Match statistics

Ittihad TangerRenaissance Club Zemamra
  • 51Possession, %49
  • 4Shots6
  • 1On target2
  • 0Corners4
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Ittihad Tanger

  1. GKBadreddine Abyir
  2. DFBilal El Ouadghiri
  3. DFSaad Karouat86′
  4. MFMohamed El Arouch86′
  5. MFAchraf Laâziri
  6. MFZakaria Kiani
  7. MFBabacar Sarr
  8. MFAbdel Maâli
  9. FWIbrahima Dieng
  10. FWSoufyan Ahannach
  11. FWSenad Jarović80′
Came on (3)
  1. MFEnnaama El Bellali4′
  2. DFAkram El Wahabi10′
  3. MFHamza El Moudene4′

Renaissance Club Zemamra

  1. GKMohamed Ferni
  2. DFAiman El Aatga87′
  3. DFMohamed Kamal87′
  4. DFOusmane Diallo
  5. DFMohamed Abdouramane
  6. DFJames Ajako
  7. MFAbdellatif El Bajjani61′
  8. FWYouness Moukhlis77′
  9. FWJawad Essaghir77′
  10. FWZakaria Ajoughlal
  11. FWOussama Dahr
Came on (5)
  1. DFBilal Soufi3′
  2. MFMouad Rahni13′
  3. MFAnass El Ghannouj29′
  4. FWAbdelaziz El Hamzaoui13′
  5. DFOussama El Attar3′

Form

Ittihad Tanger

  • 28.10away · FAR Rabat0:2
  • 14.10MAS Fès2:1
  • 10.10away · KACM1:2
  • 02.10MAT Tetouan1:1
  • 24.09away · US Amal Tiznit3:1

Renaissance Club Zemamra

  • 25.10FUS Rabat0:1
  • 13.10away · RS Berkane2:2
  • 08.10Hassania Agadir2:5
  • 03.10away · Raja Casablanca0:1
  • 27.09away · MAS Fès1:2

Head to head

  • 21.06.2026Ittihad Tanger — Renaissance Club Zemamra1:0
  • 08.02.2026Renaissance Club Zemamra — Ittihad Tanger1:0
  • 23.02.2025Renaissance Club Zemamra — Ittihad Tanger2:0
  • 23.10.2024Ittihad Tanger — Renaissance Club Zemamra0:1
  • 01.06.2024Renaissance Club Zemamra — Ittihad Tanger0:1

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, CAF Confederation CupWydad Casablanca63216–4+211
4Ittihad Tanger63128–7+110
5Widad Temara63037–4+39
15, RelegationMAT Tetouan60332–9-73
16, RelegationRenaissance Club Zemamra60155–12-71

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

Botola Pro on the same day

  • Widad TemaraMAS Fès
    XThe most likely outcome did not happen: XFinal score 1:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.0
  • CODM MeknèsFAR Rabat
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:2.2.3
  • RS BerkaneRaja Casablanca
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:1.1.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →