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Botola Pro (Morocco), round 6 · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3) · Meknes Honor Stadium

CODM Meknès — FAR Rabat

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Model prediction and result

0:0Missed
CODM Meknès21%
Draw29%
FAR Rabat50%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, FAR Rabat to win (50%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 50% fails in about 50 matches out of 100 on average.

FAR Rabat are clear favourites: 50% against 21% for the opponent, draw 29%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FAR Rabat are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
  • FAR Rabat are 55 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • FAR Rabat: unbeaten in 4.
  • Last 4 meetings: CODM Meknès 1 win, FAR Rabat 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CODM Meknès — FAR Rabat What is xG?0.8–1.5
CODM Meknès not to lose50%
FAR Rabat not to lose79%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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  • Handicap CODM Meknès
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  • FAR Rabat goals
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Match events

  1. 6′Hamza El Wasti · CODM Meknès
  2. 15′Marouane Louadni · FAR Rabat
  3. 69′Ahmed Hammoudan · FAR Rabat
  4. 71′Ayoub Lakhlifi · CODM Meknès
  5. 72′Jephte Kitambala · FAR Rabat
Substitutions (7)
  1. 60′Ahmed Hammoudan ↔ Abdelfettah Hadraf · FAR Rabat
  2. 60′Zine Derrag ↔ Soulaimane El Bouchqali · FAR Rabat
  3. 69′Yassine Miloudi ↔ Mohamed Zrida · CODM Meknès
  4. 69′Joseph Gnadou ↔ Hamza El Wasti · CODM Meknès
  5. 69′Taoufik Razko ↔ Zakaria Bahrou · CODM Meknès
  6. 82′Allan Okello ↔ Jephte Kitambala · FAR Rabat
  7. 85′Mohamed Aanane ↔ Hamza El Janati · CODM Meknès

Match statistics

CODM MeknèsFAR Rabat
  • 52Possession, %48
  • 8Shots1
  • 3On target0
  • 3Corners4
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

CODM Meknès

  1. GKAnas Zniti
  2. DFAyoub Lourhraz
  3. DFKarim El Bounagate
  4. DFSaad El Morsli
  5. DFAyoub Lakhlifi
  6. DFBadr Gaddarine
  7. MFLarbi Naji
  8. MFHamza El Janati85′
  9. MFMohamed Zrida69′
  10. FWHamza El Wasti69′
  11. FWZakaria Bahrou69′
Came on (4)
  1. MFTaoufik Razko21′
  2. MFYassine Miloudi21′
  3. FWJoseph Gnadou21′
  4. MFMohamed Aanane5′

FAR Rabat

  1. GKAhmed Tagnaouti
  2. DFAnas Bach
  3. DFMarouane Louadni
  4. DFFallou Mendy
  5. DFTó Carneiro
  6. DFNadir Lougmani
  7. MFMerveil Ndockyt
  8. MFAbdelfettah Hadraf60′
  9. MFSoulaimane El Bouchqali60′
  10. FWYoussef El Fahli
  11. FWJephte Kitambala82′
Came on (3)
  1. FWAhmed Hammoudan30′
  2. MFZine Derrag30′
  3. FWAllan Okello8′

Form

CODM Meknès

  • 24.10away · US Amal Tiznit2:1
  • 17.10Union Touarga Sport1:0
  • 11.10away · Wydad Casablanca0:0
  • 03.10KACM0:1
  • 26.09away · Difaâ El Jadida6:2

FAR Rabat

  • 28.10Ittihad Tanger2:0
  • 12.10away · Hassania Agadir2:2
  • 08.10Widad Temara1:0
  • 05.07Renaissance Club Zemamra0:0
  • 02.07away · CODM Meknès2:3

Head to head

  • 02.07.2026CODM Meknès — FAR Rabat3:2
  • 28.02.2026FAR Rabat — CODM Meknès3:0
  • 23.01.2025CODM Meknès — FAR Rabat2:2
  • 25.09.2024FAR Rabat — CODM Meknès4:0

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, CAF Champions LeagueKACM64118–5+313
2, CAF Champions LeagueCODM Meknès63219–4+511
3, CAF Confederation CupWydad Casablanca63216–4+211
5Widad Temara63037–4+39
6FAR Rabat42205–2+38
7Hassania Agadir622212–10+28

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • FAR RabatRaja Casablanca4 November · Botola Pro
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
  • MAT TetouanCODM Meknès7 November · Botola Pro
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.0

Botola Pro on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →