2. Bundesliga, round 12 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Kaiserslautern — Dynamo Dresden
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kaiserslautern are clear favourites: 46% against 26% for the opponent, draw 28%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kaiserslautern are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Kaiserslautern are 177 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Kaiserslautern — No. 4, 18 pts; Dynamo Dresden — No. 18, 8 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Kaiserslautern 1 win, Dynamo Dresden 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kaiserslautern — Dynamo Dresden What is xG? | 1.7–1.3 | |
| Kaiserslautern not to lose | 74% | |
| Dynamo Dresden not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kaiserslautern
- Kaiserslautern goals
- Dynamo Dresden goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Kaiserslautern | Dynamo Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.51 | 1.37 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.45 | 1.68 |
| Shots | 15.6 | 12.8 |
| On target | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6.7 |
| Cards | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 48 | 55 |
Form
- 31.10Hertha BSC0:3
- 28.10away · Hannover 962:0
- 24.10away · 1. FC Nürnberg1:0
- 17.10Bochum2:0
- 09.10away · FC Heidenheim0:0
- 01.11away · Hannover 961:2
- 28.10Schalke 042:0
- 25.10away · Holstein Kiel0:3
- 18.10Magdeburg2:0
- 10.10away · VfL Osnabrück1:1
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Dynamo Dresden — Kaiserslautern1:0
- 06.12.2025Kaiserslautern — Dynamo Dresden3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Wolfsburg | 10 | 5 | +11 | 19 |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 5 | Magdeburg | 10 | 5 | +8 | 17 |
| 17, Relegation | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 18, Relegation | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- Energie CottbusHertha BSCpreliminary2224542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.7
- Karlsruher SCVfL Osnabrückpreliminary4227321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →