Uzbekistan Super League, round 28 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Kokand 1912 — Sogdiana
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Kokand 1912 38%, Sogdiana 34%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Kokand 1912 — No. 14, 24 pts; Sogdiana — No. 11, 30 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Sogdiana: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kokand 1912 — Sogdiana What is xG? | 1.6–1.6 | |
| Kokand 1912 not to lose | 66% | |
| Sogdiana not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kokand 1912
- Kokand 1912 goals
- Sogdiana goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 30.10Qizilqum Zarafshon0:0
- 25.10away · AGMK1:2
- 16.10Neftchi Fargona2:4
- 09.10Mashal Muborak3:0
- 20.09away · Surkhon-20110:1
- 30.10Buxoro1:1
- 24.10away · Nasaf Qarshi1:2
- 16.10away · Bunyodkor Tashkent1:1
- 11.10Lokomotiv Tashkent2:3
- 20.09AGMK1:2
Head to head
- 02.04.2026Sogdiana — Kokand 19122:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Andijon | 26 | 9 | -4 | 31 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 26 | 8 | -7 | 30 |
| 12 | Surkhon-2011 | 26 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 25 | 8 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 26 | 5 | -11 | 24 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 26 | 5 | -16 | 23 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- XorazmBuxoropreliminary2830422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- Nasaf QarshiMashal Muborakpreliminary871031The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →