Uzbekistan Super League, round 28 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Xorazm — Buxoro
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Buxoro are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 30%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Buxoro are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Buxoro are 71 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Xorazm — No. 15, 23 pts; Buxoro — No. 6, 42 pts. A gap of 19 pts.
- Xorazm: winless in 5; Buxoro: unbeaten in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Xorazm — Buxoro What is xG? | 1.1–1.5 | |
| Xorazm not to lose | 58% | |
| Buxoro not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Xorazm
- Xorazm goals
- Buxoro goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
Form
- 30.10Pakhtakor Tashkent0:1
- 26.10Navbahor Namangan1:2
- 16.10away · Surkhon-20110:0
- 07.10away · Neftchi Fargona2:2
- 21.09Qizilqum Zarafshon1:3
- 30.10away · Sogdiana1:1
- 23.10Surkhon-20110:0
- 17.10away · Dinamo Samarkand2:1
- 09.10Andijon3:2
- 19.09away · Bunyodkor Tashkent1:2
Head to head
- 11.03.2026Buxoro — Xorazm1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nasaf Qarshi | 26 | 11 | +14 | 42 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 26 | 12 | +5 | 42 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 26 | 11 | +8 | 40 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 26 | 5 | -11 | 24 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 26 | 5 | -16 | 23 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 26 | 1 | -41 | 4 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- Kokand 1912Sogdianapreliminary3828341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- Nasaf QarshiMashal Muborakpreliminary871031The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →