International Friendlies · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3) · Dariaus ir Girėno stadionas
Lithuania — Suriname
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Suriname are slightly stronger: 42% against 26%, draw 32%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- National-team Elo: Lithuania 1278, Suriname 1455 — Suriname clearly rated higher.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lithuania — Suriname What is xG? | 1.0–1.2 | |
| Lithuania not to lose | 58% | |
| Suriname not to lose | 74% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lithuania
- Lithuania goals
- Suriname goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 04.10away · Azerbaijan0:1
- 30.09Andorra3:0
- 27.09Azerbaijan1:1
- 24.09away · Liechtenstein2:0
- 09.06away · Estonia0:1
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
International Friendlies on the same day
- UzbekistanRussiapreliminary2430462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- MaltaEswatinipreliminary5328191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →