International Friendlies · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3) · National Stadium
Malta — Eswatini
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Malta are clear favourites: 53% against 19% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- National-team Elo: Malta 1263, Eswatini 1149 — Malta rated higher.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Malta — Eswatini What is xG? | 1.6–1.0 | |
| Malta not to lose | 81% | |
| Eswatini not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Malta
- Malta goals
- Eswatini goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 04.10Andorra1:0
- 01.10Gibraltar1:1
- 27.09Liechtenstein2:0
- 24.09away · Andorra2:1
- 05.06away · Azerbaijan2:0
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
International Friendlies on the same day
- LithuaniaSurinamepreliminary2632422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.2
- UzbekistanRussiapreliminary2430462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →